THE EPSOM DERBY OF 2004

By Sarah Whitelaw
3 June 2004

An open race with favouritisim disputed by Yeats and Snow Ridge. American Post’s participation has been uncertain for a long time and connections are unsure of how the colt will act on the firmer going.

AMERICAN POST: Won six of seven, losing on debut by a short head. Unbeaten this year, he is coming off a fortunate win in the French 2000 Guineas. The son of Bering gained his last win when Antonius Pius jinked in the final stages of the French classic. Trained by Criquette Head-Maarek, he bids to give Juddmonte Farms their third Epsom Derby. A brilliant two year old, he won both the Grand Criterium and Racing Post Trophy. He has yet to run further than a mile but his pedigree suggests the trip will be no problem. His connections are worried about the firmer going he seems likely to encounter at Epsom.

COMING AGAIN: The outsider in the race. He has yet to win a race in three starts to date for Barry Hills. Beaten a short head by Motive on his last start, he previously ran second on debut to talented So Will I. Looks out of his depth here. His pedigree suggests he will enjoy the distance-a son of Rainbow Quest he is from the family of Irish River and Dynasty.

ELSHADI: A high class two year old, he won his first two starts, before running fourth in the group three Autumn Stakes to the smart Fantastic View. The latter was a well beaten second in the Racing Post Trophy to American Post. He thrashed smart Let The Lion Roar, who runs here, on his second start and obviously has some ability.

He has not run this year, although jockey Richard Hills has been talking up his chances. It is not known if he will stay the trip, being a son of top class miler, Cape Cross and a half brother to smart ten furlong horse, Highdown.

GATWICK: A late addition to the final Derby field. Once raced at two, when beaten into third on debut, the son of Ali-Royal is one of the most improved horses in the UK. He has to date yet to run out of the placings in five starts, including an impressive win last time out over Makfool at Haydock. Has yet to run further than a mile and his pedigree suggests stamina could find him out. He does take a substantial step up in class from handicapper to group one and it is difficult to know what to make of him.

HAZYVIEW: An impressive winner of both the Newmarket and Fairway Stakes, but beaten by ten lengths by Percussionist at Lingfield in the Derby trial. He did beat subsequent stakes Tahreeb in the Newmarket Stakes but looks to have a task overturning the form with Percussionist. A son of Cape Cross, his dam is a daughter of Woodman. He has won five of 11 starts to date. Neville Callaghan trains.

LET THE LION ROAR: A talking horse over the winter for the race, but his form suggests he may be outclassed here. Third in the Dante Stakes, he is lightly raced having run just four times for two wins and two placings. He will improve with distance being a Sadler’s Wells half brother to St Leger hero Millenary. John Dunlop trains-he has won the Derby twice-with Shirley Heights in 1978 and Erhaab in 1994.

MASSIF CENTRALE: A half brother to Count Dubois, he has made two starts to date. One of two Elsworth runners in the field he has yet to break his maiden. Unplaced on debut he was second to Remadd on his last start. Hard to fancy.

MEATH: Uncertain runner at this stage. An impressive winner of the Gallinule Stakes at his last start, he may run in Sunday’s French Derby instead. Solid form in Ireland, including running a neck second to the smart Grey Swallow. Prior to his Gallinule he ran a neck second to useful D’Anjou-conqueror of Surveyor in Dubai. A son of Sadler’s Wells, he is Ballydoyle’s main hope now original favourite Yeats has been withdrawn.

MOSCOW BALLET: An unlikely starter. A smart two year old who ran second to Snow Ridge in the Royal Lodge when beaten under a length. Unplaced in the Dante Stakes behind North Light when finishing over 13 lengths. A Sadler’s Wells half brother to Stravinsky, he is another Ballydoyle hopeful.

NORTH LIGHT: Winner of the Dante Stakes-the son of Danehill represents last year’s winning combination of Sir Michael Stoute and Kieran Fallon. He won the ten furlong Dante on his first start at three over useful Rule of Law-third to Snow Ridge in last year’s Royal Lodge Stakes. Out of Prix Du Cadran winner, Sought Out, he is from the family of new SA sire, Tamburlaine. He has won two of three starts to date. Damsire Rainbow Quest is maternal grandsire of last year’s winner, Kris Kin.

PERCUSSIONIST: A ten length winner of the Lingfield Derby Trial on soft ground beating subsequent stakes winner Hazyview. The lack of enthusiasm on the part of his connections seemed strange after the race. Trained by John Gosden, who trained Benny The Dip to win in 1997, he is another son of Sadler’s Wells. Out of smart racemare Magnificent Style, he is a half brother to Sun Chariot winner Echoes in Eternity. He has won two of four starts, both at three.

PUKKA: Won his last two starts, a maiden and a Newbury handicap. Another son of Sadler’s Wells, trainer Luca Cumani has trained two Derby winners in Kahyasi and High-Rise. Takes a huge jump in class from handicaps to the Derby. Improving sort, bred on similar terms to 2002 winner High Chaparral.

RULE OF LAW: A strong second string for Godolphin, he was a good second in the Dante on his first start as a three year old. Winner of the Acomb Stakes at two, he was beaten a short head by Moscow Ballet when third in the Royal Lodge. There is little to choose between him and North Light, who beat him by half a length. A son of Kingmambo, he is from Teenoso’s family, winner in 1983.

SALFORD CITY: Winner of his first two starts impressively, including a win in the Greenham Stakes. He was disappointing in the 2000 Guineas, when only sixth to Haafhd as second favourite, beaten over four lengths. Rated very highly by trainer David Elsworth, the colt has attracted support in the market despite stamina doubts. By Sunline’s sire Desert Sun, he is a half brother to group winners Salford Express and Definite Article.

SNOW RIDGE: The warm favourite since Yeats’ defection. A good second in the 2000 Guineas when beaten just over a length, he was a top class two year old winning the Royal Lodge before running unplaced in the Dewhurst Stakes. Despite being a son of top sprinter Indian Ridge, his dam Snow Princess was a stayer classy enough to run second in the Prix Royal Oak and is a daughter of stamina influence, Ela-Mana-Mou. Frankie Dettori looks for his first Derby success on Godolphin’s colt.

SELECTION

1 Percussionist

2 Snow Ridge

3 North Light