With the Derby being won by the 50-1 shot Giacomo, many are
predicting another upset in the second leg of America's Triple Crown.
The likes of Closing Argument and Afleet Alex are back to improve
on their Derby placings, while Derby disappointments High Fly, High
Limit and Sun King bid to improve on their last runs.
GIACOMO: Needs to disprove the general belief that his Derby
win was a fluke. The last Derby winner to lose the Preakness was
Monarchos in 2001, and Giacomo's rivals need to step up on their
Derby form. His form prior to the Derby was one of an improving
but not top class colt and he needs to keep improving to win here.
A son of Holy Bull, he is from Lyphard's immediate family. The
fourth choice in the betting did not get a great draw-he is drawn
13.
AFLEET ALEX: Benefited from a great ride in the Derby to run
third. He may prefer the shorter distance of the Preakness and
is the currently luke warm favourite. His form prior to the Derby
was sparkling and he should be in the first three, although Giacomo
is preferred. His trainer, Tim Ritchey, is not pleased with the
draw of 12 for his fleet colt.
CLOSING ARGUMENT: The biggest surprise in the Derby when a fast
finishing second at 70-1. He had been well beaten by both Bandini
and High Limit when third in the Blue Grass at his previous start.
The winner of the Holy Bull, when ending High Fly's unbeaten run,
he is well drawn at seven.
GOING WILD: The Lukas trained runner has no chance on his current
form. Unplaced in his last three starts, he beat two home in the
Derby. His trainer rates him highly, but his form suggests he
is not the horse who ran second to Declan's Moon earlier in the
season. He has the widest draw of 14.
GALLOPING GROCER: Another who needs to recapture his good earlier
form. A smart two year old, he ran second to Rockport Harbor in
the Remsen, beaten a neck. He has been beaten in his three starts
since, with a fourth place in the Wood Memorial his most recent
effort. He is drawn at eight.
GREELEY'S GALAXY: Well beaten when eleventh in the Derby. He
was impressive when winning the Illinois Derby by over nine lengths.
He is well drawn at four but needs to improve on his Derby performance.
The handsome son of Mr Greeley has won three of his five starts
to date.
HAL'S IMAGE: One of the new horses. A half brother to Florida
Derby winner, Hal's Hope, he won the Unbridled Stakes at his last
start. Takes a huge jump in class and has won just two of his
16 starts to date. Another well drawn, he is drawn at six. Jose
Santos bids for his second Preakness win in three years.
HIGH FLY: He was very disappointing in the Derby. Prior to that
he had been beaten just once, in the Holy Bull Stakes. Jerry Bailey
has kept faith with the colt despite his poor Derby performance.
He is another whom the short distance should suit. Nick Zito got
the two draw for his Atticus colt.
HIGH LIMIT: Injured when last of the 20 runners in the Derby.
He gets a new rider in Edgar Prado. The Maria's Mon colt was one
of the Triple Crown talking horses following his scintillating
four length win in the Louisana Derby. He was then beaten six
lengths by Bandini in the Blue Grass Stakes, but had Closing Argument
three lengths further away. On that form, if he has recovered
from his injuries he should go close here.
MALIBU MOONSHINE: Malibu Moon's son Declan's Moon was last year's
Derby favourite. When he got injured, another Malibu Moon stepped
up. Malibu Moonshine has won two stakes races, including the Federico
Tesio. The last was run over the same course and distance of the
Preakness. Few winners of this race have had much impact in the
Preakness recently and this colt will need to improve.
NOBLE CAUSEWAY: Second in the Florida Derby to High Fly. He got
into some trouble in the Derby and was unplaced. Gary Stevens,
who has won the race twice before, rides. A son of red hot sire,
Giant's Causeway, his dam is a half sister to India's champion
sire, Placerville.
SCRAPPY T: An impressive winner of the Withers last time out.
He was a well beaten third behind Bellamy Road and Survivalist
in the Wood Memorial previously. Winner of the Count Fleet Stakes
in January, he was beaten by Derby also ran Sort It Out in the
Whirlaway Stakes. A gelding by Fit To Fight, he is one of the
outsiders here.
SUN KING: Been disappointing at his last two starts. Winner of
the Tampa Bay Derby, he was third in last year's Breeders Cup
Juvenile. Bids to emulate his sire, Charismatic, who won this
race in 1999. Was 15th in the Kentucky Derby last time out.
WILKO: Has not won since winning the Breeders Cup Juvenile last
year, but has not been disgraced. Sixth in the Kentucky Derby,
he beat Giacomo when he was third in the Santa Anita Derby. The
small chestnut is drawn at nine.
SELECTION
1 Giacomo
2 High Limit
3 Afleet Alex